The Buffalo Bills will be aiming to end a three-game winless slide—both straight up and against the spread—Sunday afternoon when they take on the Cincinnati Bengals.
The 4-5 Bills have tumbled out of playoff contention with their recent slump, which includes road losses to the Miami Dolphins and Seattle Seahawks and comes on the heels of a four-game win streak.
The 3-5-1 Bengals return home following a disappointing 21-20 loss to the New York Giants on Monday night as one-point road chalk. Cincinnati has tallied just one SU and ATS win in its past five games and hasn’t picked up consecutive SU wins since December 2015.
Point spread: The Bengals opened as four-point favorites; the total was 45.5 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).
NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 30.8-18.9, Bengals (NFL picks on every game)
Why the Bills can cover the spread
It has been over five years since the Bills last lost four consecutive games. Buffalo has been a solid bet in games following consecutive losses, going 8-1 SU and 8-0-1 ATS over its past nine such outings.
Buffalo remains one of the strongest teams in the league with the ball. The Bills have averaged a solid 26.3 points per game this season and 26.7 points per game over their past three on the road.
The Bengals have produced dismal results as narrow home chalk. Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in its past eight games when favored by three or fewer points on home turf, failing to post an ATS win during that stretch. The lines now have Cincinnati listed as a 2.5-point favorite.
Why the Bengals can cover the spread
The Bengals have proved effective at containing opposing offenses in contests at Paul Brown Stadium. Cincinnati has surrendered just 17.4 points per game over its past five such outings and an average of just nine points before halftime in its past three.
Cincinnati has won four of its last five at home against AFC East rivals—both SU and ATS. The Bengals have also turned in stout defensive performances in those matchups, holding opponents to single-digit point totals in each of their past three.
Since holding opponents to just one total touchdown during their recent four-game win streak, the Bills defense has stumbled, allowing 12 total scores and 33.3 points per game in three straight defeats.
The Bengals posted a 23-20 win as three-point home underdogs the last time these teams met in Cincinnati five years ago, ending a four-game losing streak—both SU and ATS—in the series.
But while the Bills have struggled on defense, they remain a fearsome offensive force, scoring 30.0 points per game over their past five contests, pushing the point total over in each outing.
Look for Buffalo to halt its current slide with an outright win as a betting underdog Sunday.
The Bills are 10-3 SU and ATS in their last 13 games against the Bengals.
The total has gone over in the Bills’ last seven games against the Bengals.
The Bengals are 22-7-1 SU in their last 30 games at home.
All NFL betting lines and point spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.